52%
plan to vote for gay union ban
by Sherri
Richards The Forum, October 23, 2004
A proposed constitutional
amendment to ban same-sex marriage in North Dakota has the support of most
voters, but not overwhelmingly.
According to a poll
conducted this week for The Forum and WDAY-TV, 52 percent of likely voters
in the state will vote for Measure No. 1.
The poll found 36 percent
of likely voters oppose the amendment, and 11 percent are undecided.
The constitutional
amendment needs a simple majority to pass.
"People plan to
support it, but what surprises us is that a lot of the polls taken in
other states (on proposed marriage amendments) ... numbers are running 70
percent," said Jim Danielson, professor of political science and
co-director of the Public Affairs Institute at Minnesota State University
Moorhead, which conducted the poll.
Eleven states will vote on
constitutional amendments to ban gay marriage Nov. 2.
Polls by a Louisville, Ky.,
TV station have shown support in that state floating between the low- to
mid-70-percent range.
A survey done last week for
the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette shows a 65 percent approval of a state
same-sex marriage amendment.
In Ohio, 57 percent of
voters support the state's measure, according to a University of
Cincinnati poll.
The battle has been
considered the closest in Oregon. A recent CNN-USA Today-Gallup survey
shows 50 percent of voters there favor the ban, while 42 percent oppose
it.
Missouri voters approved a
ban Aug. 3 with 71 percent of the vote. Louisiana approved a same-sex
measure Sept. 18 with 78 percent of the vote, although it was later struck
down by a district judge because the ballot question addressed more than
one issue.
Christina Rondeau,
executive director of the North Dakota Family Alliance, said she was
surprised support for the amendment was relatively low in a conservative
state like North Dakota.
She said some voters may
have been influenced by "concerted efforts to spin an issue,"
making the amendment seem bigoted and prejudiced.
"This is nothing to do
with those kind of issues," Rondeau said. "This is about what's
good for marriage."
She's also noticed what she
calls a "libertarian conservative" attitude in the state. Some
citizens have a "hands-off" approach and don't want to amend the
constitution, she said.
This is reflected in the
poll results. About 19 percent of very conservative voters are against the
amendment.
"Very conservative
people who place an emphasis on individualism would be likely to adopt the
attitude, 'it's not a matter for government, it's a matter for the
individual,'" said Philip Baumann, a political science professor and
co-director of the Public Affairs Institute.
None who labeled themselves
as "very liberal" supported the amendment.
Robert Uebel, chairman of
Equality North Dakota that is pushing a "no" vote, said the
results were "fantastic."
"People understand
that the Family Alliance's arguments don't hold water," Uebel said.
"I think it shows our message is getting out there."
The group has been
targeting young voters and college campuses.
According to the polls, 57
percent of students oppose the constitutional measure, while 36 percent
support it and the remainder were undecided. Voters under 30 appear to be
less supportive of the amendment.
"It confirms the
strategies we've been working with so far," Uebel said. "Most of
these results speak the fact that there is a lot of opposition to this
amendment outside the GLBT community."
Only 6 percent of those
surveyed said the amendment is the most important issue facing North
Dakota this election year.
Of those, 80 percent
support the constitutional change.
The amendment also garners
great support from voters who believe more emphasis on religion is needed
in politics and government. More than 70 percent of these voters will vote
for Measure No. 1, according to the poll.
Among voters who believe
religion is a private matter, 41 percent said they will vote for the
amendment while 43 percent would vote against it.
Rondeau said those numbers
do not mean the amendment is a religious issue.
"It is because their
religious faith affirms a societal norm, a societal good," she said.
The Family Alliance
gathered 42,000 signatures to put the measure on the Nov. 2 ballot.
Measure No. 1 reads:
"Marriage consists only of the legal union between a man and a woman.
No other domestic union, however denominated, may be recognized as a
marriage or given the same or substantially equivalent legal effect."
Rondeau is confident the
amendment has enough support to pass.
"I would be surprised
if the numbers at the voting booth don't shift in our favor," Rondeau
said.
Readers can reach Forum
reporter Sherri
Richards at (701) 241-5525